According to ESPN, 73.5 million Americans will bet on the NFL this football season. And ever since sports betting became legal the number continues to grow yearly. Now, there are numerous ways you can bet on a football game.
However, one of the most popular options is known as totals. Totals, also called over/under odds, are an essential component for those interested in sports betting.
So how do you read football odds over/under? And what are some tips and strategies you should know before betting? In this football betting tips guide, we’ll answer these questions so you know everything you need to know before the big game.
Once you learn the rules of betting, you can begin exploring the different forms. Over/under odds, also known as totals, are one of the most popular forms of sports betting. Simply put, they involve predicting whether the total combined score of both teams in a football game will be over or under a specific number set by bookmakers.
For instance, if the over/under line is set at 45.5 points, bettors wager on whether the total score will exceed or fall short of that number.
Here’s an example: The Line: 45.5 points.
Betting Over: You win if the combined score of both teams is 46 points or more
Betting Under: You win if the combined score is 45 points or less
This straightforward concept makes over/under odds appealing to both beginners and experienced bettors.
Bookmakers rely on a variety of factors to set the over/under line. Some of the key considerations include:
Offensive and defensive performance metrics provide a baseline for predicting potential scores. Rain, snow, or high winds can affect scoring by making it harder to pass or kick the ball. Injuries to key players, particularly quarterbacks or star defenders, can influence the expected outcome.
NFL football odds can also shift leading up to the game. Public sentiment, late-breaking news, or heavy betting on one side can prompt bookmakers to adjust the line to balance their risk.
The over/under line often includes decimals (e.g., 45.5) to avoid ties, also known as a “push.” This ensures there’s always a definitive result for the wager. If the line is set at a whole number, such as 46, and the total score equals that number, the bet is considered a push, and your original stake is returned.
Over/under bets are typically accompanied by moneyline odds, such as -110. This figure shows how much you need to wager to win $100 (or equivalent in other currencies). For example:
Odds of -110: You need to bet $110 to win $100.
Odds of +110: A $100 bet would yield $110 in profit.
These odds determine the payout and reflect the perceived likelihood of each outcome.
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Successful betting starts with thorough research. Look at team performance, head-to-head matchups, and player stats. For example, a matchup between two high-scoring teams might indicate a favorable overbet, while two defensive powerhouses could lean toward the under.
The context of a game can greatly influence scoring. Factors like rivalry games, playoff implications, or even the playing surface can impact the outcome. For instance, a game played in heavy rain is less likely to produce a high score.
One of the most important aspects of betting is managing your bankroll. Avoid wagering more than you can afford to lose and spread your bets to minimize risk. A common strategy is to limit each bet to 1-2% of your total bankroll.
Public sentiment often skews the betting line. For instance, if the majority of bettors favor the others due to flashy offenses, the line may shift higher than it should. Monitoring these trends can help you find value in betting the under.
In addition, it’s crucial to remember that betting on over/under isn’t just about raw statistics. Each game has its ownunique characteristics that can influence scoring. Analyzing previous meetings between the teams, looking at offensive and defensive strategies, and even factoring in emotional or situational elements can all help predict whether a total will go over or under.
Overlooking critical elements like weather conditions, injuries, or game tempo can lead to poor decisions. Always stay informed about the latest sports betting insights before placing your bet. News outlets are a great way to get information.
While it’s tempting to always bet the over on teams with explosive offenses, it’s important to consider matchups and defensive capabilities in your betting guides.
After a loss, some bettors make impulsive decisions in an attempt to recover quickly. This approach often leads to bigger losses. Stick to your over under strategy and remain disciplined.
We hope this football betting software odds explanation guide helped you learn more about football odds over/under. Our clients here at Ace Pay Per Head know that the real money isn’t made through bets, but rather through bookies.
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